Complete quantitative breakdown of all 11 eligible teams — from raw scouting data to final pick decisions, risk matrix, and contingency protocols.
11 teams. Click headers to sort. Hover rows for scouting notes.
| Rank | Team | Auto | TeleOp | Endgame | Penalty | Reliability | Volatility | EMV | Appeal | Status |
|---|
Gross revenue tells you what a team scored. EMV tells you what they're worth. The gap is the story.
Teams with <100% reliability have their gross revenue heavily discounted. IronClad loses $52,750.
| Team | Gross | Reliability | EMV | Discount |
|---|
Alliance selection is a portfolio construction problem. Minimise correlated failure modes and cap combined volatility.
| Factor | IronClad | Nighthawk | ByteForce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliability | 50% — HIGH | 100% — LOW | 100% — LOW |
| Volatility | 0.47 — MED | 0.15 — LOW | 0.12 — LOW |
| Penalty Rate | 4.2 pts — MED | 1.1 pts — LOW | 1.8 pts — LOW |
| Inspection | FAILED | PASSED | PASSED |
| Overall | ELIMINATE | PICK #1 | PICK #2 |
Volatility 2.07 (worst). Appeal 13,669 (worst). Rookie season — unpredictable in elimination rounds.
30% crash rate: M3, M6, M9 — perfect interval. Thermal failure pattern. Catastrophic in single-elim.
Penalty avg 6.5 pts/match — highest in pool. Two judge incidents. Penalty burden flips close matches.
Spider chart comparing all three alliance members across five normalised performance dimensions.
Dominant Auto ROI (9.5) and TeleOp ROI (20.0). Highest ceiling partner in the pool. Covers phases Phoenix Vipers lacks depth in.
Well-rounded with no single weakness. TeleOp ROI (12.9) paired with endgame backup creates complete three-phase coverage.
Strong Reliability (10/10) and Low Penalty (9.5/10). Our role: consistent, penalty-free execution while partners drive the scoring load.
Each partner has a primary role and documented backup capability. Zero coverage gaps.
A documented 6-step selection process. Every elimination is data-backed and audit-ready.
Scouted all 11 teams across 7–9 qualification matches. Recorded Auto, TeleOp, Endgame, penalties, and failure events per match.
IronClad eliminated before analysis begins — failed hardware inspection. Non-negotiable gate; disqualified teams cannot compete.
Quantum Foxes (70%, pattern M3/M6/M9) and Steel Falcons (70%, rookie volatility) flagged as single-elimination existential risks.
Applied EMV formula across remaining 9 teams. Nighthawk ($100.25K) and ByteForce ($91.5K) clear the $90K threshold. Next team: $72K.
Nighthawk (0.15) and ByteForce (0.12) rank #1 and #2 lowest volatility in the top-5 EMV group. Portfolio combined: 0.135.
Confirmed three-phase coverage: Nighthawk (Auto+Endgame) + ByteForce (TeleOp) + Phoenix Vipers (anchor) = zero-gap alliance.
Phoenix Vipers + Nighthawk Dynamics + ByteForce Legion. Every metric supports this. Every alternative was tested and eliminated.
| IronClad #14822 | Failed inspection + 50% reliability + EMV rank #9 |
| Quantum Foxes #19004 | 30% crash rate, pattern-interval failures |
| Steel Falcons #45611 | Volatility 2.07 + Appeal 13,669 = worst in pool |
| Vortex Union #21987 | 6.5 pts/match penalty — highest in pool |
| CircuitStorm #18456 | TeleOp 40% below avg; EMV $72K vs $100K |
| Titan Gears #52233 | Declining performance pattern (battery issue) |
ByteForce (P1) + Nomad Robotics #38765 (P2). Nomad: vol 0.08, $71.25K EMV, Appeal $923K — hidden gem.
Nighthawk (P1) + Nomad (P2). Near-zero volatility pair, combined EMV $171.5K — still strong portfolio.
Nomad Robotics only viable alternative. Avoid Titan Gears, Vortex, and both 70%-reliability teams.
Based on 5-metric analysis across 11 teams, 90+ qualification match data points, and three independent validation passes.